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Text Alert for 1-28-2020

March soybeans have held Monday’s low within a quarter cent. The daily indicators are 3% on the 3-day RSI, 18% on the 9-day RSI, The TRx is lower than it was on December 2nd, the floater is 1% negative and the timer is 2% negative. By doing nothing the inner-day 60 minute indicators are recovering but we note the daily 3-day moving average is starting to pull away from the daily lower Bollinger Band. This appears to be the start of the market turning for recovery. Thus far, 900 has held the resistance but this market is capable of moving to 920. Sounds like baby steps. Keep in mind, last year’s low for a lead contract was 780.5 in the week of May 13th. The September secondary low was 837.5 to 839. Soybeans are finding support against the weekly 40 and 50 moving averages that are close to a trend line from the September lows. We really want to alert you that the low of 2018 was 810.5 during the week of July 16th, 2018 and then the low of the week of May 13th, 2019. This pull back could be setting up the right shoulder of a massive head and shoulders bottom with a perfect neckline. Keep in mind, soybeans via a lead contract made a lower low last year over 2018 but closed the year out higher. This portends higher yearly highs to be coming. Its just not the right time yet. Patience is in store but better days coming and the break will offer opportunity for cash sales replacements or end users to book soymeal needs ahead.


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